Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005258 0.005809 0.006380 0.007014 0.007697 0.008409 0.009208
2024-12-29 0.004501 0.005303 0.006175 0.007189 0.008331 0.009574 0.011025
2025-01-05 0.004059 0.005010 0.006080 0.007365 0.008858 0.010530 0.012533
2025-01-12 0.003542 0.004560 0.005741 0.007201 0.008943 0.010940 0.013389
2025-01-19 0.003188 0.004260 0.005540 0.007160 0.009138 0.011452 0.014344
2025-01-26 0.002861 0.003960 0.005307 0.007052 0.009227 0.011821 0.015117
2025-02-02 0.002619 0.003746 0.005159 0.007030 0.009405 0.012284 0.015998
2025-02-09 0.002402 0.003545 0.005011 0.006991 0.009549 0.012697 0.016814
2025-02-16 0.002289 0.003472 0.005021 0.007147 0.009935 0.013412 0.018011
2025-02-23 0.002096 0.003276 0.004854 0.007059 0.009999 0.013714 0.018689
2025-03-02 0.001959 0.003148 0.004768 0.007071 0.010185 0.014169 0.019562
2025-03-09 0.001911 0.003143 0.004849 0.007307 0.010669 0.015014 0.020947
2025-03-16 0.001811 0.003058 0.004819 0.007394 0.010964 0.015630 0.022063
2025-03-23 0.001747 0.003023 0.004856 0.007575 0.011390 0.016426 0.023431
2025-03-30 0.001689 0.002993 0.004897 0.007759 0.011821 0.017233 0.024824
2025-04-06 0.001535 0.002805 0.004696 0.007588 0.011750 0.017362 0.025313
2025-04-13 0.001430 0.002684 0.004588 0.007545 0.011854 0.017725 0.026116
2025-04-20 0.001315 0.002541 0.004439 0.007433 0.011852 0.017938 0.026715
2025-04-27 0.001231 0.002442 0.004353 0.007409 0.011974 0.018320 0.027548
2025-05-04 0.001149 0.002343 0.004259 0.007369 0.012068 0.018661 0.028325
2025-05-11 0.001117 0.002327 0.004298 0.007531 0.012461 0.019428 0.029703
2025-05-18 0.001035 0.002216 0.004177 0.007440 0.012474 0.019654 0.030327
2025-05-25 0.000979 0.002149 0.004124 0.007452 0.012639 0.020098 0.031260